Chelsea U21 1-2 Tottenham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.68
Over 2.5
58%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.29
No
41%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.5pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+18.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-18.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
73%
-13.8pp
41%
BTTS No
27%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tottenham U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
375 Passes 363
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.05.2024 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 2-1 HT 1-0 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
1-2
AWAY Tottenham U21
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 414
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 nicked a narrow win over Chelsea U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 44% of the ball to Tottenham U21's 56%, shots finished 7-15.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Chelsea U21 1-2 Tottenham U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 46%, draw 27%, Tottenham U21 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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