Arsenal U21 4-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.31
No
46%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.8pp
46%
BTTS No
28%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Manchester United U21
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
4.23 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 0
469 Passes 390
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 6-2 HT 4-0 Manchester United U21 Manchester United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
4-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
501 Passes 339
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal U21 got the better of Manchester United U21 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 58% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 42%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Arsenal U21 4-2 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 46%, draw 20%, Manchester United U21 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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