Marupe vs Rigas FS II Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Rigas FS II — Team-Based Signals
Marupe vs Rigas FS II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Marupe
LET1
Rigas FS II nicked a narrow win over Marupe 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rigas FS II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rigas FS II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marupe and 2.50 for Rigas FS II.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Rigas FS II?
Marupe 1-2 Rigas FS II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Rigas FS II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas FS II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Marupe 22%, draw 28%, Rigas FS II 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas FS II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.