Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smiltene v Leevon / PPK — Team-Based Signals
Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Leevon / PPK ran out comfortable winners over Smiltene 4-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Smiltene at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leevon / PPK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Smiltene and 2.00 for Leevon / PPK.
What was the final score of Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?
Smiltene 0-4 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - 1st Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Leevon / PPK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Smiltene win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 48%, draw 18%, Leevon / PPK 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Smiltene), BTTS Yes went the other way.