CD Feirense 0-1 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 40%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.35/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.18
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Feirense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Porto II
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 1.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
283 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
17.03.2024 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-1 HT 1-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
04.11.2023 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
16.04.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-0 HT 2-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
29.10.2022 Porto II Porto II 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
10.04.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Feirense
0-1
AWAY Porto II
0.64 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 11
299 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Feirense vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II squeezed past CD Feirense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Porto II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Feirense had 52% of the ball to Porto II's 48%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.64 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Porto II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Feirense and 0.83 for Porto II.

What was the final score of CD Feirense vs Porto II?

CD Feirense 0-1 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Feirense vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CD Feirense 38%, draw 28%, Porto II 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CD Feirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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