Leixoes vs Penafiel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leixoes v Penafiel — Team-Based Signals
Leixoes vs Penafiel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POR2
2-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Leixoes
POR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Penafiel
POR2
Leixoes 3-1 Penafiel — Actual Match Statistics
Leixoes got the better of Penafiel 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Leixoes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leixoes had 48% of the ball to Penafiel's 52%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.98 to 1.06.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penafiel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 1.50 for Penafiel.
What was the final score of Leixoes vs Penafiel?
Leixoes 3-1 Penafiel in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Penafiel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 38%, draw 29%, Penafiel 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.