Khimki 2-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

Khimki
2-2 HT 2-1
Akron
📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.52
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.7
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
16%
5.84
X/2
10%
6.12
X/X
15%
4.57
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.99
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khimki EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.24/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-6% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.4 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khimki
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.87 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
413 Passes 239
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
52 Box Touches 25
30 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Akron Akron 3-0 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
12.11.2023 Khimki Khimki 2-2 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
02.10.2023 Akron Akron 0-2 HT 0-2 Khimki Khimki RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khimki
2-2
AWAY Akron
2.07 xG 0.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
234 Passes 291
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
46 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Khimki vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khimki and Akron shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Khimki had 46% of the ball to Akron's 54%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.07 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Khimki and 1.67 for Akron.

What was the final score of Khimki vs Akron?

Khimki 2-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khimki vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khimki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Khimki 37%, draw 28%, Akron 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Khimki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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