Rubin Kazan 2-1 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.0pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -16%
1.36/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.14
-21% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Fakel
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.02 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
245 Passes 275
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Fakel Fakel RUK
27.09.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-0 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
27.08.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUK
26.11.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 1-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
25.09.2023 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-1
AWAY Fakel
0.62 xG 0.88
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
445 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan nicked a narrow win over Fakel 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 67% of the ball to Fakel's 33%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.62 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rubin Kazan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rubin Kazan and 0.20 for Fakel.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

Rubin Kazan 2-1 Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 45%, draw 26%, Fakel 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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