Zilina vs Spartak Trnava Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zilina v Spartak Trnava — Team-Based Signals
Zilina vs Spartak Trnava Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Zilina 2-1 Spartak Trnava — Actual Match Statistics
Zilina nicked a narrow win over Spartak Trnava 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zilina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Zilina had 60% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 40%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.67 to 1.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zilina's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zilina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zilina and 1.00 for Spartak Trnava.
What was the final score of Zilina vs Spartak Trnava?
Zilina 2-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zilina vs Spartak Trnava?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zilina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zilina 41%, draw 27%, Spartak Trnava 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zilina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.