Kayserispor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.17
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.36
X/2
12%
6.85
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.66
2/X
11%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -19%
1.51/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.50
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
23.1 Crosses 18.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.30 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
02.03.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
21.10.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.04.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
27.11.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
03.03.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.20 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 7
294 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor squeezed past Çaykur Rizespor 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kayserispor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 48% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 52%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.20 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Çaykur Rizespor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 1.67 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Kayserispor 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 43%, draw 26%, Çaykur Rizespor 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kayserispor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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