Trabzonspor 4-3 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.4
X/2
4%
9.99
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
12%
7.6
2/X
7%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
+29% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 17.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.84 xG 1.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
471 Passes 283
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2025 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TÜK
30.11.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
04.03.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
23.10.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
03.06.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 5-1 HT 4-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
09.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
4-3
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.27 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
392 Passes 396
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Alanyaspor 4-3. Half-time: 4-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 49% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 51%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.27 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.83 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor?

Trabzonspor 4-3 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 54%, draw 25%, Alanyaspor 22%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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