Bologna U20 1-0 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna U20 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +23%
1.73/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.10
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +44%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna U20
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Genoa U20
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
03.10.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 İTAPŞ1
22.01.2025 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 İTAPŞ1
25.08.2024 Bologna U20 Bologna U20 3-0 HT 2-0 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Bologna U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna U20 nicked a narrow win over Genoa U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Bologna U20 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bologna U20 and 0.67 for Genoa U20.

What was the final score of Bologna U20 vs Genoa U20?

Bologna U20 1-0 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bologna U20 40%, draw 30%, Genoa U20 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna U20), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bologna U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
27 Apr 2026
18:00 Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20 Analysis →