Fiorentina U20 3-1 Monza U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.76
No
35%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
53%
+12.2pp
35%
BTTS No
47%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.33/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.73
+34% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Monza U20
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
65% Ball Possession 35%
28 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Monza U20 Monza U20 1-2 HT 0-2 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
28.04.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-2 HT 1-1 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAPŞ1
08.01.2025 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-0 HT 0-0 Monza U20 Monza U20 İTAKPR
25.11.2024 Monza U20 Monza U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 saw off Monza U20 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fiorentina U20 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Fiorentina U20 and 0.75 for Monza U20.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20?

Fiorentina U20 3-1 Monza U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 54%, draw 23%, Monza U20 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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