Cagliari 3-2 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 27 Apr 2026

Cagliari
3 - 2 HT 2 - 2
Atalanta
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away Pick
56%
1.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.85
Over
49%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.1
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.51
6+
5%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.34
1/2
4%
23.95
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
8%
9.06
X/2
19%
4.18
X/X
15%
4.88
2/1
1%
34.0
2/2
33%
2.25
2/X
5%
14.15
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Cagliari v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Cagliari The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 57%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.04 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Cagliari vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atalanta
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
292 Passes 456
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 2-1 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
15.02.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
14.12.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 0-1 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
07.04.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
24.09.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 2-0 HT 1-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
06.02.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA

Cagliari 3-2 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
3 - 2
AWAY Atalanta
1.56 xG 1.18
26% Ball Possession 74%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
177 Passes 639
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 18
REVIEW Cagliari vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cagliari nicked a narrow win over Atalanta 3-2. It stood 2-2 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

This one beat our numbers. Atalanta carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

Under the surface, Cagliari had 26% of the ball to Atalanta's 74%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.56 to 1.18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Atalanta.

Cagliari vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Cagliari 3 - 2 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 19%, draw 25%, Atalanta 56%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atalanta), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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