Al Kahrabaa 1-3 Al Karkh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
22%
Draw
30%
-8.1pp
41%
Away Win
30%
+10.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.79/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.85
+63% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kahrabaa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Karkh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
31.10.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
18.02.2025 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Karkh Al Karkh IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karkh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh beat Al Kahrabaa 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Al Karkh found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Kahrabaa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Kahrabaa and 0.50 for Al Karkh.

What was the final score of Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karkh?

Al Kahrabaa 1-3 Al Karkh in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karkh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Kahrabaa 37%, draw 22%, Al Karkh 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
27 Apr 2026
17:00 Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Analysis →
17:00 Naft vs Zakho Analysis →
19:30 Al Talaba vs Erbil Analysis →