Naft 1-1 Zakho — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

Naft
1-1 HT 1-0
Zakho
📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zakho EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.66/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.00
-38% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Zakho
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.02.2026 Zakho Zakho 2-0 HT 2-0 Naft Naft IRAK
13.03.2025 Zakho Zakho 2-1 HT 1-1 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Zakho
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft and Zakho shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zakho at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zakho led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft and 2.00 for Zakho.

What was the final score of Naft vs Zakho?

Naft 1-1 Zakho in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Zakho?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Naft 28%, draw 29%, Zakho 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zakho), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zakho) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
27 Apr 2026
17:00 Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya Analysis →
17:00 Al Kahrabaa vs Al Karkh Analysis →
19:30 Al Talaba vs Erbil Analysis →