Newroz 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 49%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.70/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.62
-30% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +43%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.02.2026 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1 HT 0-1 Newroz IRAK
09.03.2025 Newroz 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Al Quwa Al Jawiya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Quwa Al Jawiya led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Newroz and 1.50 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Newroz 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newroz 30%, draw 30%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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