Al Talaba 2-3 Erbil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Talaba EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Erbil EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.03/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.83
-10% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Talaba
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Erbil
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.01.2026 Erbil Erbil 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Talaba Al Talaba IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Talaba vs Erbil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil edged past Al Talaba 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Talaba vs Erbil?

Al Talaba 2-3 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Talaba vs Erbil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Talaba win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Talaba 38%, draw 28%, Erbil 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Talaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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