Smouha 0-1 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.05/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.13
-19% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.8 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Masry
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 0.82
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 326
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.01.2026 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSRLK
22.10.2025 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
27.02.2025 Smouha Smouha 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
01.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
05.03.2024 Al Masry Al Masry 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.07.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 0-1 HT 0-1 Smouha Smouha MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
0-1
AWAY Al Masry
0.81 xG 1.30
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry squeezed past Smouha 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Masry as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Smouha had 55% of the ball to Al Masry's 45%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Smouha and 1.17 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Al Masry?

Smouha 0-1 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Masry win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Smouha 29%, draw 29%, Al Masry 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Masry), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Masry) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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