FC Arges 0-1 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2026

📅27/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
51%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.91
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Arges EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
0.99/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.07
-7% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
206 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.3 Crosses 17.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Arges
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.57 xG 1.10
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
170 Passes 389
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2026 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
21.11.2025 FC Arges FC Arges 1-2 HT 1-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
18.07.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-1 HT 2-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
01.03.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
07.12.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
07.10.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Arges
0-1
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
0.83 xG 1.32
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 218
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova nicked a narrow win over FC Arges 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Arges had 52% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 48%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.83 to 1.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Arges and 1.17 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova?

FC Arges 0-1 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 27/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Arges vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Arges 24%, draw 25%, Universitatea Craiova 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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