Independiente Petrolero 2-4 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 27 May 2025

📅27/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.17/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
+42% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
15.2 Crosses 13.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 276
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
21.07.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
19.04.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-3 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
06.08.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
05.03.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
11.10.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
2-4
AWAY Aurora
1.22 xG 1.91
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
354 Passes 169
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 26
42 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora beat Independiente Petrolero 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Aurora found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 65% of the ball to Aurora's 35%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.22 to 1.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.50 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Independiente Petrolero 2-4 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 27/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 38%, draw 27%, Aurora 35%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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27 May 2025
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