Newroz 1-1 Al Mosul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 May 2026

Newroz
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Mosul
📅27/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Newroz vs Al Mosul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Al Mosul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mosul EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.47/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.00
+15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Newroz vs Al Mosul Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Mosul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
06.02.2026 Al Mosul Al Mosul 0-2 HT 0-1 Newroz IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Mosul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Al Mosul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Mosul?

Newroz 1-1 Al Mosul in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Mosul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newroz 37%, draw 30%, Al Mosul 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newroz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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