27/05/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Baghdad vs Al Gharraf Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
26%
Draw
29%
35%
Away Win
36%
48%
Under 2.5
52%
52%
Over 2.5
48%
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
48%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baghdad v Al Gharraf — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Baghdad
EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Gharraf
EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% /
+13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+23% /
+23%
1.58/0.65
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.26/0.25
+40%
/
+65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+12%
/
+150%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
278 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
353 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Baghdad vs Al Gharraf Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Baghdad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Gharraf
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Baghdad vs Al Gharraf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Gharraf saw off Baghdad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Al Gharraf made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Baghdad vs Al Gharraf?
Baghdad 1-3 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Al Gharraf?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baghdad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 40%, draw 26%, Al Gharraf 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baghdad) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Baghdad)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
27 May 2026