Al Karma 1-0 Diala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 May 2026

📅27/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
14%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
61%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
14%
Away Win
16%
-2.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Diala EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.79/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.99
+6% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +50%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Diala
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.02.2026 Diala Diala 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Karma IRAK
29.03.2025 Al Karma 0-0 HT 0-0 Diala Diala IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Diala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma squeezed past Diala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Karma and 0.50 for Diala.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Diala?

Al Karma 1-0 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Diala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 58%, draw 28%, Diala 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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