Al Zawraa 0-1 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 27 May 2026

📅27/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
58%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.50/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.23
-3% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Zawraa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Naft
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.02.2026 Naft Naft 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
02.07.2025 Naft Naft 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Zawraa Al Zawraa IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft edged past Al Zawraa 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Zawraa at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Naft led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Zawraa and 1.00 for Naft.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Naft?

Al Zawraa 0-1 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 27/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 61%, draw 22%, Naft 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Zawraa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ BTTS No
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