Österlen 4-1 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Österlen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.84/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.70
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Österlen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nosaby IF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.05.2025 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
02.08.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-3 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
29.03.2024 Österlen Österlen 1-1 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
24.09.2023 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 1-2 HT 1-0 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
02.06.2023 Österlen Österlen 1-1 HT 0-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 0-1 Österlen Österlen İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Österlen vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Österlen swept aside Nosaby IF 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Österlen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Österlen and 1.17 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of Österlen vs Nosaby IF?

Österlen 4-1 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Österlen vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Österlen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Österlen 45%, draw 28%, Nosaby IF 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Österlen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Österlen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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