Balkan 1-2 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.4pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Balkan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.83/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.08
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Balkan
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-2 HT 1-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
30.06.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Balkan Balkan İSÇ4
08.04.2024 Balkan Balkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Balkan
1-2
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hogaborgs BK squeezed past Balkan 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Balkan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Balkan had 44% of the ball to Hogaborgs BK's 56%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Balkan and 1.33 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK?

Balkan 1-2 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Balkan vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Balkan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Balkan 47%, draw 23%, Hogaborgs BK 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Balkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
27 Jun 2025
20:00 Franke vs Taby Analysis →
20:00 Viggbyholms IK vs Nacka Iliria Analysis →
20:00 Landvetter IS vs Onsala Analysis →
20:00 Astrio vs Qviding FIF Analysis →
20:00 Böljan vs Vastra Frolunda IF Analysis →
20:00 Österlen vs Nosaby IF Analysis →