Perth Glory II 3-1 Sorrento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.8pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.0pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory II EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.09/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.74
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
380 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sorrento
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Sorrento Sorrento 2-2 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
08.07.2023 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 5-3 HT 2-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
27.05.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 2-3 HT 1-2 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
05.08.2022 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II 1-5 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
14.05.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVNPL
11.09.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-3 HT 1-1 Perth Glory II Perth Glory II AVUSB
POST-MATCH Perth Glory II vs Sorrento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory II beat Sorrento 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Perth Glory II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Perth Glory II and 2.50 for Sorrento.

What was the final score of Perth Glory II vs Sorrento?

Perth Glory II 3-1 Sorrento in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory II vs Sorrento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory II 45%, draw 28%, Sorrento 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth Glory II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth Glory II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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