South Melbourne 2-1 Hume City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jun 2025

📅27/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Melbourne EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hume City EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.49/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.48
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
207 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.2 Crosses 11.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Melbourne
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hume City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.93 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 494
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.03.2025 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-1 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
11.09.2024 Hume City Hume City 2-3 HT 1-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVUK
30.08.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
01.06.2024 Hume City Hume City 0-1 HT 0-0 South Melbourne South Melbourne AVNPL
26.02.2024 South Melbourne South Melbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
09.07.2023 South Melbourne South Melbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Melbourne vs Hume City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Melbourne edged past Hume City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day South Melbourne made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for South Melbourne and 0.83 for Hume City.

What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Hume City?

South Melbourne 2-1 Hume City in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Hume City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 35%, draw 25%, Hume City 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hume City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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