Ulsan Citizen 4-1 Mokpo City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Jun 2026

📅27/06/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.16/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mokpo City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
4 Corners 4
21.03.2026 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
21.09.2025 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.05.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
30.03.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
06.05.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen swept aside Mokpo City 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ulsan Citizen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.17 for Mokpo City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Ulsan Citizen 4-1 Mokpo City in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 42%, draw 29%, Mokpo City 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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