Club Atletico Mitre 2-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.81
No
65%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.4pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+4.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.9pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
0.91/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.25
-30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Mitre
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
10.03.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
01.08.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
22.03.2021 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 3-2 HT 2-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre nicked a narrow win over Almirante Brown 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; Club Atletico Mitre found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Club Atletico Mitre and 1.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown?

Club Atletico Mitre 2-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Mitre 40%, draw 36%, Almirante Brown 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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