Adelaide Olympic 2-1 Para Hills Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
44%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.38
No
35%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
42%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
44%
Away Win
34%
+10.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.7pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Olympic EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.72/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.89/4.00
+59% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% / -60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Olympic
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Para Hills Knights
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
04.05.2024 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights 0-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic AVNPL
23.10.2020 Adelaide Olympic Adelaide Olympic 4-0 HT 2-0 Para Hills Knights Para Hills Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Olympic vs Para Hills Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Olympic nicked a narrow win over Para Hills Knights 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Para Hills Knights at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Adelaide Olympic had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adelaide Olympic and 0.00 for Para Hills Knights.

What was the final score of Adelaide Olympic vs Para Hills Knights?

Adelaide Olympic 2-1 Para Hills Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Olympic vs Para Hills Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Para Hills Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Olympic 29%, draw 26%, Para Hills Knights 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Para Hills Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Para Hills Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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