Hills Brumbies 2-3 St. George Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hills Brumbies EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 46%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.63/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.50
+75% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hills Brumbies
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. George Saints
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.04.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 1-0 HT 1-0 Hills Brumbies Hills Brumbies AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hills Brumbies vs St. George Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. George Saints nicked a narrow win over Hills Brumbies 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day St. George Saints made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Hills Brumbies vs St. George Saints?

Hills Brumbies 2-3 St. George Saints in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hills Brumbies vs St. George Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hills Brumbies win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hills Brumbies 38%, draw 25%, St. George Saints 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hills Brumbies) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hills Brumbies) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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