Peninsula Power 3-1 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.94
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.4pp
16%
Draw
22%
-5.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
2.01/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.90
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +113%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.04 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
317 Passes 454
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.07.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
14.07.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
09.04.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-3 HT 0-2 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
30.07.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
01.05.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 6-1 HT 4-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
17.07.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power got the better of Brisbane Olympic FC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Peninsula Power and 1.67 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Peninsula Power 3-1 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 53%, draw 16%, Brisbane Olympic FC 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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