HNK Gorica 3-0 Rudes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.46
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-14.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudes EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+32% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2024 Rudes Rudes 2-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
26.11.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-0 HT 3-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
02.09.2023 Rudes Rudes 0-2 HT 0-2 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
03.05.2019 Rudes Rudes 1-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
02.03.2019 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-1 HT 3-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
09.11.2018 Rudes Rudes 0-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
3-0
AWAY Rudes
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Rudes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Gorica ran out comfortable winners over Rudes 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HNK Gorica as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 57% of the ball to Rudes's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HNK Gorica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 0.67 for Rudes.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Rudes?

HNK Gorica 3-0 Rudes in the Friendlies on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Rudes?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 55%, draw 23%, Rudes 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HNK Gorica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HNK Gorica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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