Palestino 1-0 Union Espanola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palestino EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Espanola EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.56
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.8 Crosses 19.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palestino
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Union Espanola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.35 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
171 Passes 223
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2025 Union Espanola Union Espanola 3-0 HT 0-0 Palestino Palestino ŞİLİK
22.02.2025 Union Espanola Union Espanola 0-3 HT 0-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
02.02.2025 Palestino Palestino 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİLİK
03.11.2024 Union Espanola Union Espanola 2-3 HT 1-1 Palestino Palestino ŞİL
24.05.2024 Palestino Palestino 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
23.09.2023 Palestino Palestino 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Espanola Union Espanola ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palestino
1-0
AWAY Union Espanola
0.84 xG 0.97
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
335 Passes 202
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palestino vs Union Espanola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palestino nicked a narrow win over Union Espanola 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palestino as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Palestino had 60% of the ball to Union Espanola's 40%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.84 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palestino had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Palestino and 1.33 for Union Espanola.

What was the final score of Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Palestino 1-0 Union Espanola in the Chile - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palestino vs Union Espanola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palestino win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palestino 48%, draw 24%, Union Espanola 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palestino) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palestino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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