Atlanta United 2-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.49/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.5 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
406 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-2 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
06.08.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
23.05.2021 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
14.07.2019 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
15.07.2018 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 0-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
01.04.2017 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.69 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
416 Passes 505
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and Seattle Sounders couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atlanta United had 46% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 54%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.69 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlanta United and 0.83 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Seattle Sounders?

Atlanta United 2-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 40%, draw 24%, Seattle Sounders 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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