Philadelphia Union 3-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.79
+22% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
427 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.7 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.43 xG 1.26
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
422 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 2-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids CONLK
14.05.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-2 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
28.08.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 6-0 HT 3-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
30.05.2019 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
01.04.2018 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 3-0 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
21.05.2017 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
3-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
4.00 xG 0.63
61% Ball Possession 39%
27 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
419 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union beat Colorado Rapids 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 61% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 39%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 4.00 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids?

Philadelphia Union 3-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 52%, draw 21%, Colorado Rapids 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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