St. Louis City vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
St. Louis City
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
St. Louis City 1-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United edged past St. Louis City 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, St. Louis City had 51% of the ball to Minnesota United's 49%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.70 to 1.94.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for St. Louis City and 2.40 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?
St. Louis City 1-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 38%, draw 23%, Minnesota United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.