Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 32%
-57% / -57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.78/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/3.13
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
245 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
11.0 Crosses 24.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.49
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
160 Passes 246
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 5-2 HT 3-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
23.11.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.05.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
25.07.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
19.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
13.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero nicked a narrow win over Oriente Petrolero 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Independiente Petrolero 1-0 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 42%, draw 26%, Oriente Petrolero 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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