Melgar 0-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melgar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.41/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.9 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melgar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.05 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
330 Passes 272
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Melgar Melgar PER
14.07.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Melgar Melgar PER
27.01.2024 Melgar Melgar 2-3 HT 1-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.08.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Melgar Melgar PER
01.04.2023 Melgar Melgar 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
04.08.2021 Melgar Melgar 2-2 HT 1-2 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melgar
0-2
AWAY Cusco FC
0.79 xG 1.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
348 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Melgar vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC beat Melgar 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Melgar at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Melgar had 47% of the ball to Cusco FC's 53%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 0.79 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melgar and 1.17 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Melgar vs Cusco FC?

Melgar 0-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melgar 49%, draw 26%, Cusco FC 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Melgar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melgar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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