Napredak Krusevac 2-2 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.41
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.5 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
234 Passes 297
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 2-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
06.10.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-1 HT 0-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
25.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 3-1 HT 3-1 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
17.09.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
18.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
19.08.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-2
AWAY Novi Pazar
0.85 xG 2.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 9
232 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 27
28 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and Novi Pazar shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Napredak Krusevac at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 42% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 58%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 0.85 to 2.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.50 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar?

Napredak Krusevac 2-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 45%, draw 27%, Novi Pazar 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
27 Jul 2025
21:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Analysis →
21:00 IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →
22:00 Spartak Subotica vs Vojvodina Analysis →