Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒04:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.66/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.62
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.2 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Queretaro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
398 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.02.2026 Queretaro Queretaro 0-0 HT 0-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
21.09.2025 Pachuca Pachuca 0-2 HT 0-2 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
30.01.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.09.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
10.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.08.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-2
AWAY Queretaro
1.27 xG 2.06
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
349 Passes 305
21 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Pachuca vs Queretaro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Queretaro edged past Pachuca 2-1 away from home in the Mexico - Primera on 27 Jul 2026. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.27 to 2.06.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queretaro lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.00 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 56%, draw 23%, Queretaro 22%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✗ BTTS No
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MEK More Mexico - Primera
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