Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
2.81
6+ Goals
12%
8.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-6.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Necaxa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.15/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.12
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.9 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Necaxa
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Monterrey
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.75 xG 1.12
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 435
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2026 Necaxa Necaxa 0-2 HT 0-2 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
24.08.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 2-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
02.02.2025 Monterrey Monterrey 1-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
18.07.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.04.2024 Necaxa Necaxa 2-5 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
01.11.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 3-0 HT 1-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Necaxa
2-1
AWAY Monterrey
2.99 xG 1.03
19 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
369 Passes 172
24 Box Touches 6
14 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Necaxa vs Monterrey
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Necaxa edged past Monterrey 2-1 in the Mexico - Primera on 27 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.99 to 1.03.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey lead the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Necaxa and 2.50 for Monterrey.

What was the final score of Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 33%, draw 27%, Monterrey 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ BTTS Yes
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