Rosenborg 4-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Jul 2026

📅27/07/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
14%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.21
Over
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.16
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
28%
2.86
6+
8%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.87
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
4%
15.25
X/1
21%
4.08
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
11%
6.2
2/1
4%
20.5
2/2
7%
8.93
2/X
4%
17.15
Value flag · X/1 at 4.08 — our 21% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rosenborg The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.04
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
34 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.12
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.05.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
05.04.2025 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
27.07.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
02.06.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
01.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
11.11.2012 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
4 - 0
AWAY Fredrikstad
2.54 xG 0.60
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
506 Passes 398
40 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rosenborg ran out comfortable winners over Fredrikstad 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (61%) came in, both teams to score (55%) didn't.

The match data tells the story: shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.54 to 0.60.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosenborg and 0.83 for Fredrikstad.

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Result & Final Score

Rosenborg 4 - 0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 67%, draw 19%, Fredrikstad 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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