Babelsberg 3-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.85/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/0.85
-37% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
296 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 2-1 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
21.08.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
10.02.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg beat Greifswalder SV 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Babelsberg and 1.33 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Babelsberg 3-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 29%, draw 25%, Greifswalder SV 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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