Babelsberg 1-2 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.96/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.75
-30% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babelsberg
1-2
AWAY Greifswalder SV
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV squeezed past Babelsberg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Greifswalder SV found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Babelsberg had 59% of the ball to Greifswalder SV's 41%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Babelsberg and 1.00 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Babelsberg 1-2 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 35%, draw 29%, Greifswalder SV 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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