Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.57/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.24
-20% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 0-1 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
07.05.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
27.11.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
22.04.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
31.10.2021 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carl Zeiss Jena
1-0
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carl Zeiss Jena vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena edged past Chemnitzer FC 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carl Zeiss Jena as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Carl Zeiss Jena had 52% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 48%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carl Zeiss Jena and 1.17 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Carl Zeiss Jena vs Chemnitzer FC?

Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carl Zeiss Jena vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carl Zeiss Jena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Carl Zeiss Jena 46%, draw 21%, Chemnitzer FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carl Zeiss Jena) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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