Viktoria Berlin 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -22%
1.60/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.62
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Berlin
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
22.10.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 5-0 HT 4-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
03.02.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
12.08.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
01.02.2020 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
11.05.2014 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-2 HT 2-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Berlin
0-1
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Viktoria Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig squeezed past Viktoria Berlin 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Lokomotive Leipzig found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Viktoria Berlin had 58% of the ball to Lokomotive Leipzig's 42%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Viktoria Berlin and 1.00 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Viktoria Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Viktoria Berlin 0-1 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Berlin 38%, draw 26%, Lokomotive Leipzig 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Berlin) ✓ Under 2.5
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