Eilenburg 2-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -9%
1.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.27
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.3 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.02.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
26.08.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-3 HT 1-2 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
11.12.2021 Eilenburg Eilenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.07.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-0 HT 0-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eilenburg
2-0
AWAY Luckenwalde
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg got the better of Luckenwalde 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Eilenburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eilenburg had 37% of the ball to Luckenwalde's 63%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Eilenburg and 2.00 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Luckenwalde?

Eilenburg 2-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luckenwalde win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 34%, draw 28%, Luckenwalde 38%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luckenwalde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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